Sunday, 22 January 2017

22/1/17 EPL Matches

Form:
Southampton: WLWDLL
Leicester: LWDWLD

H2H:
Southampton won only 1 and drew 1 out of the last 6 meetings. However on home soil, they managed to win 4, draw 1 and lose 1. Southampton have not won Leicester in their last 4 encounters.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Southampton: 5/ 8
Leicester: 5/ 8

Prediction:
Southampton are currently on a 4 game losing streak in the premier league. They have scored and concede and average of 1 goal / home game. Southampton have scored 1 goal in their last 7 home games.

Leicester, current Epl champions are sitting at 15th in the table. They have yet to win an away game in 10 games, conceding an average of 2.1 goals/away game. Leicester had been horrible away this season winning only twice on the road.

I see some value in backing the current champions. Leicester not to lose on this one.



Leicester Win/Draw

Form:
Arsenal: WWDWWL
Burnley: WWDLWW

H2H:
Arsenal won the last 5 meetings drawing once. Back at home, Arsenal has won all games against Burnley scoring at least 2 goals in each game

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Arsenal: 13/ 6
Burnley: 9/ 3

Prediction:
Arsenal are sitting 4th in the table and dropping points against Burnley will be disastrous. They have the 2nd best offense in the league scoring 48 goals in 21 games conceding 22. They have won their last 4 home games and scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding 1/home game.

Burnley are the worst travellers in the league managing only 1 point in 9 awayt games. Scoring just 3 and conceding 20. However, they seemed to be running good recently, clocking in 4 wins,1 draw in their last 6 games, losing 2-1 to man city. They also managed 3 clean sheets in their last 3 games.

Arsenal are solid at home and Burnley are lousy travellers. This look like a straightforward Arsenal win here.
Arsenal -1.5 at Sgpools gives no value at all, and it is risky taking Burnley +1.5. With 3 clean sheets in their last 3 games, I’m banking on Burnley to keep it tight at the back and attacking on the break, keeping the game low scoring.

Tg Under 3.5 

Form:
Chelsea: WWLWWW
Hull: WLWLDL

H2H:
Chelsea won 5/6 games against Hull. Scoring at least 2 goals in the last 5 games.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Chelsea: 15/ 5
Hull: 8/ 11

Prediction:
Current league leaders, Chelsea, are 7 points away from 2nd place tottenham. Chelsea have the best attack at home, averaging 2.8 goals/ home game and conceding just 6.

Hull are sitting at 18th position, 1 point from bottom. They concede an average of 2.4 goals/ away game, scoring just 6.in 10 games. Hull scored only 1 goal in their last 7 league games.

Chelsea had a 10 game winning streak before being beaten by Tottenham 2-0. and are back to their winning ways, winning 2 on the trot. They also have scored in every home game this season, scoring 1 goal twice, while banging in the goals in others, frequently 3 to 4 goals. Having mentioned the stats, it is likely that Chelsea will thrash Hull in this game. Not a fan of giving -2.5 balls, but at the odds of 2.30 and over 3.5 at odds 2.25. I would not count on Hull city to score, so Chelsea -2.5 is the better choice

Chelsea -2.5

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