22/1/17 EPL Matches

Form:
Liverpool: WDLDDW
Swansea: LLWLLL

H2H:

Liverpool won 5 out of last 6 games

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Liverpool: 5/ 4

Swansea: 3/ 17

Prediction:
The media has made it seemed like Liverpool is in a mini crisis after failing to win Plymouth in the FA cup and losing to Southampton in the League cup. Having said that, Liverpool currently has the best attack in EPL scoring 49 goals in 21 games. One thing to note is that their top scorer Sadio Mane is currently at the African Nations cup and unavailable for the game.

Swansea should be more well rested than Liverpool as they do not have a mid-week game. They concede an average of 2.2 goals per away game, scoring 0.9.

Despite losing Mane, Liverpool have multiple goal scorers in their team and are looking to gain 3 easy points against Swansea.

Liverpool – 1.5

Form:
Middlesbrough: DWDLLW
West Ham: WLLLWW

H2H:

Boro won 1 draw 3 and lost 2 against Westham. Last 2 encounter was 1-1 draw.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Boro: 7/ 3

West Ham: 8/ 9

Prediction:
Draw specialist this season Boro are looking to avoid relegation this season currently with 20pts. They are keeping it tight on both ends, scoring just 17 and conceding 22 goals. That is joint 4^th best defense in the league.

Westham are sitting in 12^th position seemingly safe from relegation, they have been winning weaker teams and losing to top teams.

With Boro continue to keep things tight, Tg under 2.5 seem like a good bet covering the potential 0-0 and 1-1 most likely result
Tg Under 2.5

Form:
Bournemouth: LLDWLL
Watford: DWLLDL

H2H:

5 out of the last 6 games ended in draw with Bournemouth taking 1 victory. Last 3 games ended in draw 2-2,0-0 and 1-1.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Bournemouth: 8/ 15

Watford: 4/ 8

Prediction:
Bournemouth are sitting at 11^th position with 25 points, while Watford at 14^th position with 23points. A win by Watford would rise them above bournemouth. Bournemouth have been pretty decent at home, remember the 4-3 victory against liverpool and 3-3 draw against Arsenal?

Watford are also terrible on the road losing their last 5 games. And conceding an average of 1.9 goals per away game.

Based on the statistics, it is likely that Bournemouth will win, but at the price of 1.65 is too low for this fixture. I would punt on a draw and maybe livebet on Tg over 0.5 or 1.5 towards the end of the game.

1x2 Draw (3)

Form:
Crystal Palace: WLDLLD
Everton: WLWDWL

H2H:

CP won 2 drew 3 and lost 1 in their last 6 encounters. Surprisingly, on CP’s ground, they have yet to win in their last 5 games against Everton. Drawing 3 and losing on 2 occasions.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

CP: 4/ 9

Everton: 12/ 4

Prediction:
Everton are currently in 7^th position, 7 points away from 6^th position Man Utd, and 4 points away from 8^th position WBA. Recent 4-0 victory against Man city would have been a morale booster. Everton scores an average of 1.3 goals in their away games.

CP are sitting in 17^th positiong just 1 point from the bottom, and has 1 of the highest goal count in the league. CP has the worst home record gaining just 7 points in 10 home games. They score an average of 1.3 goals and concede average of 1.5 goals per game.

Everton has been scoring in their past 5 games, and CP has conceded in every game aside from the 0-0 draw against Bolton in the FA cup. This game looks like Everton would almost certain score a goal in here. Taking Everton win at 2.15 seem like good value if everton can score a goal and keep it tight at the back.

Everton 1x2 

Form:
Stoke: WLWLLD
Man Utd: DWWWWW

H2H:

Stoke has won 2 drew 2 and lost 2 against Man Utd in the last 6 encounters. Man Utd has not won at Stoke ground for the last 3 games, losing twice and drawing once. The last time Man utd won at stoke was in 2013

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Stoke: 10/13

Man Utd: 12/ 3

Prediction:
Stoke are 9^th in the table with 27 points. They have a pretty even record, drawing with mid table teams, losing to top teams and winning bottom teams in their last 6 games. Stoke score and concede an average of 1.3 goals .

Man Utd are sitting at 6^th position and currently on a 12 game unbeaten streak. Man Utd average 1.5 away goals and concede an average of 1.1 goal.

Stoke has not won any of the top 6 teams this season so far and I expect it to continue. Man Utd has only failed to score on 4 occasions and has score 2 goals in their last 4 away games. There is no value in take Man Utd in the 1x2 and -1.5 seem highly unlikely as Man Utd are not known to thrash opponents. As long Stoke scores a goal, there is a high chance then game will go over 2.5.

Tg over 2.5

Form:
WBA: LLWWLL
Sunderland: LLDDLL

H2H:

there were 4 draws in the previous 6 encounters with both teams winning one each. Last 2 meetings ended 0-0 and 1-1. Sunderland has not won at WBA’s ground for the past 6 matches with WBA winning 5 and drawing 1.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

WBA: 6/ 11

Sunderland: 5/ 14

Prediction:
WBA are comfortable at 8^th position. Having only lost to the top 6 teams and picking up points against lower teams likes Hull, Swansea, Burnley and the likes. Their recent losses are against Man Utd, Arsenal and Chelsea, if we take the FA cup loss to Derby out of the equation. WBA scored and average of 1.9 goals per home game.

Sunderland are joint bottom with 15 points. They concede an average of 2 goals per game, scoring just 6.

Wba has done well when winning when they won Westham, Watford, Swansea and Hull by 2 goals, Burnley by 4 goals. They look like a team who would thrash if they could win. Sunderland has concede at least a goal in all their away games and conceded 14 in the last 5 games. So I expect them so concede. Seems like WBA will win this game, but I will be backing them to win by 2 goals or more at a nice odds of 2.70.

WBA -1.5

Form:
Man City: LWWLWW
Tottenham: WWWWW

H2H:

Each team won 3 times in the last 6 encounters with tottenham winning the last 3 meetings. However when Man city are at home, they only lost once and won 5.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Man City: 12/ 8

Tottenham: 18/ 3

Prediction:
Man City has been kind of slipping in their past few games after their fantastic start to the season. They lost to Chelsea, Leicester, Liverpool and recently 4-0 thrashing by Everton. Their home record is slightly better though, losing just once to Chelsea this season. They have at least scored 1 goal in each of their home games.

Tottenham are having the form of their lives now, winning 7 games in a row scoring 21 goals. Averaging 3 goals per game. However, only 2 of those are away games and they scored 4 goals in each of them against Southampton and Watford.

With Man city almost guarantee a goal at home, and with the recent goal scoring form of Tottenham, Tg over 2.5 would be a good bet.

Tg Over 2.5