Saturday, 14 January 2017

14 Jan - Premier League Analysis

Form:
Tottenham: WWWWWW
WBA: LWWLLW

H2H:
Surprisingly, the last 6 H2H, each team won a piece and 4 draws. Last 3 games turned out 1-1.
Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Tottenham: 17/ 3
WBA: 9/ 8


Prediction:
With the current run of form and recent 2-0 win over Chelsea, Tottenham are definitely looking good for a win here. They have also yet to lose a home game. Averaging 2.1 goals/ home game and conceding 0.5 goals.

WBA are not doing so bad siting at 8th in the table. They trouble scoring away, with just 9 goals in 10 games.


Tottenham win odds 1.20 is not worth taking and H-H at 1.65 is not either. Tottenham should score at least 2 goals in this game. Either Spurs or WBA just sneak in 1 more goal and Tg over 2.5 will look like a decent punt for a small bet

Tg over 2.5 (small bet, wait jalan for better odds)

Form:
Watford: WLLDLL
Middlesbrough: WDLLWL

H2H:
Watford won 4 out of the last 6 meetings against Boro, and drew 2.
Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Watford: 4/ 10
Boro: 7/ 6


Prediction:
Watford has a pretty weak attacking force with a weak defence. On their home, they managed to score 15 goals and concede 17 in the last 10 games.
Boro is the draw specialist with 7 draws in 20 games. Despite having a decent squad, they are having difficulty finding the net, only managing 17 goals in the last 20 league games

Both teams clocked a win last week during the Fa cup against weaker opponents, and are looking to build on their momentum. However, this game looks like it will even things out, with both struggling to find the finishing touch. Sgpools is offering TG 1.5 for this game over at 1.48, under at 2.35. A draw looks a decent bet in the game even the odds is on the low side at 2.90

Draw 1x2( small bet 1-3 )

Form:
West Ham: LLLWWW
CP: DLLDLL

H2H:
WestHam won’3 out of the last 6 draw once, with CP prevailing twice.
On a side note, there is a red card in each of their last 4 encounter.
Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Westham: 6/ 9
CP: 3/ 7


Prediction:
West ham’s condition actually looks overhyped by the media. They lost their last 3 games, 1-0 to leicester, 0-2 away to Man Utd, before the 0-5 drubbing by Man City. Just when they thought they found their form after 3 consecutive wins against burnley, hull and swansea. They look like a team who loses consistently to the top teams and gaining points against mid-table to bottom teams.

Crystal Palace are currently in dire straits. They started the season decently and have been on a slump ever since. Their last away win was way back in September 2016, with a 2-3 win against Sunderland.

With the huge hype on Payet wanting to leave West Ham. This game could be unpredictable. Taking Westham level would be good bet, but it is too unpredictable. No bet
No bet

Form:
Sunderland: DDLLWL
Stoke: LWLLDD

H2H:
Each team won 2 a piece and drew 2 games. On sunderland’s ground, Sunderland has won last 4 out of 6. winning the last 2 by 2 goals margin.
Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Sunderland: 5/10
Stoke: 7/ 12


Prediction:
Sunderland are now currently struggling at the bottom 3 and they hope to get a win to get them out from there. They have the 2nd worst scoring record with 19 goals in 20 games, 3rd worst defense conceding 37. They lose half of their games at home, winning 3 and drawing 2.

Last 3 stoke game were against Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea making them concede 11 goals. They will look to get something out from this match against Sunderland, especially their next fixture is against Manchester United.

Taking Stoke on the Win+ draw looks like a decent bet
Stoke Win/Draw (Medium 5 )

Form:
Swansea: LWLLLL
Arsenal: WDWWLL

H2H:
Surprisingly, Swasean won 3 out of the last 6 encounters against Arsenal, drawing once. Games have been producing at least 3 goals majority of the times these 2 teams meet

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Swansea: 4/ 16
Arsenal: 10/ 8


Prediction:
Swasea looks like one of the team to be relegated this season. Enough said.

Arsenal on the other hand, won half of their away games is something to take note of. However they managed to score average 2.3 goals and concede 1.2 goals in their away games.

Expect goals in this game. With the odds at 1.50, it is better to wait for better odds during live bet. Another option could be bet on the over 1.5 win full in the second half, as Giroud has been scoring some late goals recently.


TG Over 2.5 (7-10 wait for better odds)

Form:
Burnley: DLWWLL
Southampton: WDLLLW

H2H:
Burnley won 1 and drew 1 out of the last 6. With Southampton winning by 2 goals, 3-1, 2-0 in their last 2 encounters. However, Burnley has not lost to Southampton in their last 3 encounter on their home. Winning twice and drawing once.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Burnley: 7/ 6
Southampton: 8/ 12


Prediction:
Burnley has been getting decent results recently. They are surprisingly 5th best when at home. They won 7 out of their 11 home games drawing 1 and losing 3. Of course on the other hand, they only managed 1 point in al of their 9 away games.

Southampton is running through a bad patch in the premier league and the 1-0 victory over liverpool came as a slight surprise to many punters. Their captain Fonte has submitted a transfer request showed no effect on the team against Liverpool. Southampton only managed to score 9 goals in their last 10 away games and 3 of them came in a recent game against Bournemouth.

Looking at Burnley strong form at home, and Southampton poor recent result and poor away goal scoring record. A simple Burnely win looks on the card.

Burnley 1x2 (medium 5) 

Form:
Hull: LWLDLL
Bournemouth: LDWLLW

H2H:
Hull won the last 3 games with 1 draw and 1 loss. Hull won the last 2 games against bournemouth at home, though in their last encounter Bournemouth came out winners 6-1..

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Hull: 5/ 10
Bournemouth: 8/ 12


Prediction:
Hull are currently at the bottom of the table and ilooks like relegation is on the card for them. They only won 3 games so far and 2 of them came at home. At home, they score an average of 1.1 goals and concede an avg of 2 goals.

Bournemouth at sitting comfortably at 9th in the table. Looking at their away form, they only managed 2 wins and 2 draws losing 6. They score an average of 1 goal and concede 1.9 for their away games.

Hull city looks like a defeated team and bournemouth is very inconsistent. This could be a chance for Hull for get a point or 3 in this encounter.

Hull win/draw (medium 5-7)

Form:
Leicester: WDWLDL
Chelsea: WLWWWW

H2H:
Leicester won only once and draw once in their encounter which was the season they won the title. Chelsea won the other 4. their next win against chelsea goes back to 2001

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Leicester: 5/ 6
Chelsea: 13/ 5


Prediction:
Leicester can’t seems to emulate their form last season. And going back to where they belong. In the 15th position. They won only 5 games thus far and all occur on their home ground. This shows that the fans have a factor in helping them. They conceded an average of 1 goal at home. And scored and average of 1.6 goals.

Chelsea are potentially the new champions sitting on top of the table with second place Liverpool 5 points behind. They have the second best defense conceding just 15 in 20 games. Despite scoring 42 goals in 20 games so far, only 14 of them came on an away game. They have been scrapping out 1-0 and 2-0 on their away games.

Leicester would look to keep things tight at the back and looking to counter. And Chelsea are looking to extend their lead at the top despite losing 2-0 to Spurs in their last game. This looks like an under game for me. With the last minute news of Conte dropping Diego Costa due to an disagreement. Under is looking better

Tg Under 2.5(small bet 1-3)


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