Thursday, 19 January 2017

[A-League] Wellington vs Brisbane Roar

Form:
Wellington :WWLDDD
Brisbane Roar: LLLDWW

H2H:
Wellington won 3 out of the last 6 games drawing once.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Wellington: 9/6
Brisbane: 11/ 10


Prediction:
Wellington come into this game winning 2 in a row. Surprise win against Melb Victory just 4 days ago. Even tho the score was 1-0 up till the 88 min. 3-0 is flattering.and is actually a skewed result.

Brisbane on the other hand are facing a 3 game losing streak, conceding 8 goals I the last 3 games, even tho they scored 4.


These 2 team on paper looks evenly match and are on opposite form. With both teams scoring and conceding more than 1 per game. There is a high possibility that both teams will score. Tg over 2.5 for another goal to sneak in.
Tg Over 2.5 

[A-league] Sydney FC vs Adelaide

Form:
Sydney FC :DWWWWD
Adelaide: WLDLLL

H2H:
Sydney FC has only won 1 our of the last 6 meetings against Adelaide, drawing once and losing thrice. However, they won the most recent encounter 4-0.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Sydney FC: 14/ 4
Adelaide: 3/ 13


Prediction:
Sydney last lost a game back in May 2016. Currently they are sitting on the top of the table with the best defense conceding just 7 goals in 15 games and 2nd best attack with 34 goals scored. They are currently on a unbeaten run. However, they drawn 3 our of 7 games at home.

Adelaide are joint bottom with CCM at 10 points, having the worst attack in the league scoring just 12 in 15 games. They have the worst away record having just drawn 3 and won non of their away games.

I am thinking Sydney win at 1.42 is too good value.


Sydney FC 1x2

[A-League] Melbourne City v Central Coast

Form:
Melbourne City:LWDDLD
CCM: LLDLLL

H2H:
MC won 3 out of the last 6 H2H, drew 1. Last 2 seasons their games have been all more than 4 goals.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Melboune City: 9/ 10
CCM: 6/ 15


Prediction:
Even Though, MC are sitting at 3rd in the league, they are 9 points away from 2nd place MV and 8th place WSW is only 8 points away. A series of losses could put them way down the table. MC league position could be misleading, even tho they are just 1 of the 3 teams with positive goal difference. MC only won 1 out of their last 8 games. They only failed to score on 1 occasion this season.

CCM sitting at the bottom of the table with just 10 points out of 15 games. However, they are only 13 points away from MC in 3rd. This could be anyone’s game aside from the top 2 teams (Sydney & Melb Vict). CCM have the worst defense in the league conceding an average of more than 2 goals/ game. CCM has conceded in all but 1 game where they were 2-0 victorious over Perth glory at home.

Even though this game seems like goals a plenty, I think that the league position could be portraying a facade on the strength between the teams. With last game Wellington 3-0 victory over Melbourne Victory, shows that upset could happen. I am going for a riskier choice of CCM +1.5, with small bets on FT draw and CCM win.


CCM +1.5

Monday, 16 January 2017

[A-League] Wellington v Melbourne Victory

Form:
Wellington: WLDDDW
Melbourne Victory: WWWWWW

H2H:
Wellington won 2 out of 6 times in the last 6 meetings. MV won the last game 6-1 and the game before 4-1 with 3 red cards in the process. All but one game has more than 3 goals.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Wellington: 9/ 6
Liverpool: 18/ 6


Prediction:
Wellington are sitting 7th in the table. A win would bring them up to 5th position. They scored the 2nd least no. of goals in the league, 15 goals in 14 games, while conceding 20.
Melbourne Victory are sitting 2nd in the table chasing Sydney FC for the title. They have the best attack in the leage scoring 35 goals in 14 games and the second best defense conceding 16 goals. The past 6 games, MV average 3 goals per game. Berisha red card was overturned and is available for this game. He will strive to score his 100 league goals, currently on 93. With goals a plenty. TG over 2.5 seem like a no brainer.


Tg Over 2.5 

Sunday, 15 January 2017

Manchester Sunday

Form:
Everton : LWDWLW
Man City: WWLWWW

H2H:
Everton won 1, drew 3 and lost twice against Man city.
Most recent encounter was 1-1 draw at man city and 0-0 the next recent game.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Everton: 10/ 6
Man City: 14/ 3


Prediction:
Everton are sitting 7th in the table, pretty respectable, and they do have a pretty decent record at home losing just 1 out of their last 10 home games. They are also very tight at the back conceding just 7 in 10 games. They do draw quite a bunch tho. Everton only didn’t managed to score at home twice this season, once in the league cup against norwich, and once against Liverpool. Other than that, they haven’t been scoring a bunch, usually clocking just 1 or 2 goals.
Man City are sitting 5th in the table and Pep would not be please about that. They have pretty good away record, winning 7 out of their last 10, and scoring an average of 2.2 goals. Man city failed to find the net away 3 times this season against Barcelona, Man Utd and Liverpool on new year’s eve.

I expect Man City not able to drop any more points, especially in a crucial stage in this league campaign where the top teams are consistently winning. Going for a simple Man City win


Man City 1x2 

Form:
Man Utd : WWWWWW
Liverpool: LDDWWW

H2H:
Man Utd won 3 out of the last 6 games, drawing twice and liverpool winning once, noting that game liverpool won was in the Europa league.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Man Utd: 15/ 2
Liverpool: 8/ 4


Prediction:
Man Utd are in super hot form winning their last 9 games. However, the only strong opponent would be Tottenham, while the rest are all mid to bottom table teams. This game against Liverpool will prove their worth. Man Utd are sitting 6th in the table desperately need more points to get into the top 4. They haven’t been scoring a bunch, but have the 3rd best defense in the league conceding 19 in their 20 games. They are currently on a 11 unbeaten match run in the EPL.
Liverpool are sitting at 4th in the table, just 5 points adrift of Chelsea at time of analysis(before Leicester v Chelsea). They have scored most goals in the Epl, scoring 48 in 20 games.

This looks like a game Man United are looking to win to close the gap at the top. And just basing on the form of the teams, Man Utd are looking good for a narrow win.

Man United 1x2

Aleague - Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory

Form:
Newcastle Jets: WLDWWL
Perth Glory: WDDLLD

H2H:
Newcastle Jets lost 5 out of the last 6 meetings, winning the most recent encounter. There were 4 red cards issued.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Newcastle Jets: 11/ 12
Perth Glory: 9/ 12


Prediction:
Both teams are sitting just 1 point from each other. Both have average win/draw/loss. Only thing notable is Perth glory won only 1 out of their last 7 away games, and conceding more than 2 goals per game.
Nothing really obvious in this game.
Newcastle jets have failed to score 2 times at home and both times are against Sydney FC who has a great defense. Perth Glory only failed to scored once in all of their game this season. However, market is offering over 3.5. which is on the high side. Wait for livebet over 1.5 or 2.5 depending on the game flow


Wait for TG over 2.5 

Saturday, 14 January 2017

14 Jan - Premier League Analysis

Form:
Tottenham: WWWWWW
WBA: LWWLLW

H2H:
Surprisingly, the last 6 H2H, each team won a piece and 4 draws. Last 3 games turned out 1-1.
Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Tottenham: 17/ 3
WBA: 9/ 8


Prediction:
With the current run of form and recent 2-0 win over Chelsea, Tottenham are definitely looking good for a win here. They have also yet to lose a home game. Averaging 2.1 goals/ home game and conceding 0.5 goals.

WBA are not doing so bad siting at 8th in the table. They trouble scoring away, with just 9 goals in 10 games.


Tottenham win odds 1.20 is not worth taking and H-H at 1.65 is not either. Tottenham should score at least 2 goals in this game. Either Spurs or WBA just sneak in 1 more goal and Tg over 2.5 will look like a decent punt for a small bet

Tg over 2.5 (small bet, wait jalan for better odds)

Form:
Watford: WLLDLL
Middlesbrough: WDLLWL

H2H:
Watford won 4 out of the last 6 meetings against Boro, and drew 2.
Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Watford: 4/ 10
Boro: 7/ 6


Prediction:
Watford has a pretty weak attacking force with a weak defence. On their home, they managed to score 15 goals and concede 17 in the last 10 games.
Boro is the draw specialist with 7 draws in 20 games. Despite having a decent squad, they are having difficulty finding the net, only managing 17 goals in the last 20 league games

Both teams clocked a win last week during the Fa cup against weaker opponents, and are looking to build on their momentum. However, this game looks like it will even things out, with both struggling to find the finishing touch. Sgpools is offering TG 1.5 for this game over at 1.48, under at 2.35. A draw looks a decent bet in the game even the odds is on the low side at 2.90

Draw 1x2( small bet 1-3 )

Form:
West Ham: LLLWWW
CP: DLLDLL

H2H:
WestHam won’3 out of the last 6 draw once, with CP prevailing twice.
On a side note, there is a red card in each of their last 4 encounter.
Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Westham: 6/ 9
CP: 3/ 7


Prediction:
West ham’s condition actually looks overhyped by the media. They lost their last 3 games, 1-0 to leicester, 0-2 away to Man Utd, before the 0-5 drubbing by Man City. Just when they thought they found their form after 3 consecutive wins against burnley, hull and swansea. They look like a team who loses consistently to the top teams and gaining points against mid-table to bottom teams.

Crystal Palace are currently in dire straits. They started the season decently and have been on a slump ever since. Their last away win was way back in September 2016, with a 2-3 win against Sunderland.

With the huge hype on Payet wanting to leave West Ham. This game could be unpredictable. Taking Westham level would be good bet, but it is too unpredictable. No bet
No bet

Form:
Sunderland: DDLLWL
Stoke: LWLLDD

H2H:
Each team won 2 a piece and drew 2 games. On sunderland’s ground, Sunderland has won last 4 out of 6. winning the last 2 by 2 goals margin.
Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Sunderland: 5/10
Stoke: 7/ 12


Prediction:
Sunderland are now currently struggling at the bottom 3 and they hope to get a win to get them out from there. They have the 2nd worst scoring record with 19 goals in 20 games, 3rd worst defense conceding 37. They lose half of their games at home, winning 3 and drawing 2.

Last 3 stoke game were against Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea making them concede 11 goals. They will look to get something out from this match against Sunderland, especially their next fixture is against Manchester United.

Taking Stoke on the Win+ draw looks like a decent bet
Stoke Win/Draw (Medium 5 )

Form:
Swansea: LWLLLL
Arsenal: WDWWLL

H2H:
Surprisingly, Swasean won 3 out of the last 6 encounters against Arsenal, drawing once. Games have been producing at least 3 goals majority of the times these 2 teams meet

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Swansea: 4/ 16
Arsenal: 10/ 8


Prediction:
Swasea looks like one of the team to be relegated this season. Enough said.

Arsenal on the other hand, won half of their away games is something to take note of. However they managed to score average 2.3 goals and concede 1.2 goals in their away games.

Expect goals in this game. With the odds at 1.50, it is better to wait for better odds during live bet. Another option could be bet on the over 1.5 win full in the second half, as Giroud has been scoring some late goals recently.


TG Over 2.5 (7-10 wait for better odds)

Form:
Burnley: DLWWLL
Southampton: WDLLLW

H2H:
Burnley won 1 and drew 1 out of the last 6. With Southampton winning by 2 goals, 3-1, 2-0 in their last 2 encounters. However, Burnley has not lost to Southampton in their last 3 encounter on their home. Winning twice and drawing once.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Burnley: 7/ 6
Southampton: 8/ 12


Prediction:
Burnley has been getting decent results recently. They are surprisingly 5th best when at home. They won 7 out of their 11 home games drawing 1 and losing 3. Of course on the other hand, they only managed 1 point in al of their 9 away games.

Southampton is running through a bad patch in the premier league and the 1-0 victory over liverpool came as a slight surprise to many punters. Their captain Fonte has submitted a transfer request showed no effect on the team against Liverpool. Southampton only managed to score 9 goals in their last 10 away games and 3 of them came in a recent game against Bournemouth.

Looking at Burnley strong form at home, and Southampton poor recent result and poor away goal scoring record. A simple Burnely win looks on the card.

Burnley 1x2 (medium 5) 

Form:
Hull: LWLDLL
Bournemouth: LDWLLW

H2H:
Hull won the last 3 games with 1 draw and 1 loss. Hull won the last 2 games against bournemouth at home, though in their last encounter Bournemouth came out winners 6-1..

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Hull: 5/ 10
Bournemouth: 8/ 12


Prediction:
Hull are currently at the bottom of the table and ilooks like relegation is on the card for them. They only won 3 games so far and 2 of them came at home. At home, they score an average of 1.1 goals and concede an avg of 2 goals.

Bournemouth at sitting comfortably at 9th in the table. Looking at their away form, they only managed 2 wins and 2 draws losing 6. They score an average of 1 goal and concede 1.9 for their away games.

Hull city looks like a defeated team and bournemouth is very inconsistent. This could be a chance for Hull for get a point or 3 in this encounter.

Hull win/draw (medium 5-7)

Form:
Leicester: WDWLDL
Chelsea: WLWWWW

H2H:
Leicester won only once and draw once in their encounter which was the season they won the title. Chelsea won the other 4. their next win against chelsea goes back to 2001

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Leicester: 5/ 6
Chelsea: 13/ 5


Prediction:
Leicester can’t seems to emulate their form last season. And going back to where they belong. In the 15th position. They won only 5 games thus far and all occur on their home ground. This shows that the fans have a factor in helping them. They conceded an average of 1 goal at home. And scored and average of 1.6 goals.

Chelsea are potentially the new champions sitting on top of the table with second place Liverpool 5 points behind. They have the second best defense conceding just 15 in 20 games. Despite scoring 42 goals in 20 games so far, only 14 of them came on an away game. They have been scrapping out 1-0 and 2-0 on their away games.

Leicester would look to keep things tight at the back and looking to counter. And Chelsea are looking to extend their lead at the top despite losing 2-0 to Spurs in their last game. This looks like an under game for me. With the last minute news of Conte dropping Diego Costa due to an disagreement. Under is looking better

Tg Under 2.5(small bet 1-3)