22/1/17 EPL Matches

Form:
Southampton: WLWDLL
Leicester: LWDWLD

H2H:

Southampton won only 1 and drew 1 out of the last 6 meetings. However on home soil, they managed to win 4, draw 1 and lose 1. Southampton have not won Leicester in their last 4 encounters.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Southampton: 5/ 8

Leicester: 5/ 8

Prediction:
Southampton are currently on a 4 game losing streak in the premier league. They have scored and concede and average of 1 goal / home game. Southampton have scored 1 goal in their last 7 home games.

Leicester, current Epl champions are sitting at 15^th in the table. They have yet to win an away game in 10 games, conceding an average of 2.1 goals/away game. Leicester had been horrible away this season winning only twice on the road.

I see some value in backing the current champions. Leicester not to lose on this one.

Leicester Win/Draw

Form:
Arsenal: WWDWWL
Burnley: WWDLWW

H2H:

Arsenal won the last 5 meetings drawing once. Back at home, Arsenal has won all games against Burnley scoring at least 2 goals in each game

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Arsenal: 13/ 6

Burnley: 9/ 3

Prediction:
Arsenal are sitting 4^th in the table and dropping points against Burnley will be disastrous. They have the 2^nd best offense in the league scoring 48 goals in 21 games conceding 22. They have won their last 4 home games and scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding 1/home game.

Burnley are the worst travellers in the league managing only 1 point in 9 awayt games. Scoring just 3 and conceding 20. However, they seemed to be running good recently, clocking in 4 wins,1 draw in their last 6 games, losing 2-1 to man city. They also managed 3 clean sheets in their last 3 games.

Arsenal are solid at home and Burnley are lousy travellers. This look like a straightforward Arsenal win here.

Arsenal -1.5 at Sgpools gives no value at all, and it is risky taking Burnley +1.5. With 3 clean sheets in their last 3 games, I’m banking on Burnley to keep it tight at the back and attacking on the break, keeping the game low scoring.

Tg Under 3.5 

Form:
Chelsea: WWLWWW
Hull: WLWLDL

H2H:

Chelsea won 5/6 games against Hull. Scoring at least 2 goals in the last 5 games.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Chelsea: 15/ 5

Hull: 8/ 11

Prediction:
Current league leaders, Chelsea, are 7 points away from 2^nd place tottenham. Chelsea have the best attack at home, averaging 2.8 goals/ home game and conceding just 6.

Hull are sitting at 18^th position, 1 point from bottom. They concede an average of 2.4 goals/ away game, scoring just 6.in 10 games. Hull scored only 1 goal in their last 7 league games.

Chelsea had a 10 game winning streak before being beaten by Tottenham 2-0. and are back to their winning ways, winning 2 on the trot. They also have scored in every home game this season, scoring 1 goal twice, while banging in the goals in others, frequently 3 to 4 goals. Having mentioned the stats, it is likely that Chelsea will thrash Hull in this game. Not a fan of giving -2.5 balls, but at the odds of 2.30 and over 3.5 at odds 2.25. I would not count on Hull city to score, so Chelsea -2.5 is the better choice

Chelsea -2.5

22/1/17 EPL Matches

Form:
Liverpool: WDLDDW
Swansea: LLWLLL

H2H:

Liverpool won 5 out of last 6 games

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Liverpool: 5/ 4

Swansea: 3/ 17

Prediction:
The media has made it seemed like Liverpool is in a mini crisis after failing to win Plymouth in the FA cup and losing to Southampton in the League cup. Having said that, Liverpool currently has the best attack in EPL scoring 49 goals in 21 games. One thing to note is that their top scorer Sadio Mane is currently at the African Nations cup and unavailable for the game.

Swansea should be more well rested than Liverpool as they do not have a mid-week game. They concede an average of 2.2 goals per away game, scoring 0.9.

Despite losing Mane, Liverpool have multiple goal scorers in their team and are looking to gain 3 easy points against Swansea.

Liverpool – 1.5

Form:
Middlesbrough: DWDLLW
West Ham: WLLLWW

H2H:

Boro won 1 draw 3 and lost 2 against Westham. Last 2 encounter was 1-1 draw.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Boro: 7/ 3

West Ham: 8/ 9

Prediction:
Draw specialist this season Boro are looking to avoid relegation this season currently with 20pts. They are keeping it tight on both ends, scoring just 17 and conceding 22 goals. That is joint 4^th best defense in the league.

Westham are sitting in 12^th position seemingly safe from relegation, they have been winning weaker teams and losing to top teams.

With Boro continue to keep things tight, Tg under 2.5 seem like a good bet covering the potential 0-0 and 1-1 most likely result
Tg Under 2.5

Form:
Bournemouth: LLDWLL
Watford: DWLLDL

H2H:

5 out of the last 6 games ended in draw with Bournemouth taking 1 victory. Last 3 games ended in draw 2-2,0-0 and 1-1.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Bournemouth: 8/ 15

Watford: 4/ 8

Prediction:
Bournemouth are sitting at 11^th position with 25 points, while Watford at 14^th position with 23points. A win by Watford would rise them above bournemouth. Bournemouth have been pretty decent at home, remember the 4-3 victory against liverpool and 3-3 draw against Arsenal?

Watford are also terrible on the road losing their last 5 games. And conceding an average of 1.9 goals per away game.

Based on the statistics, it is likely that Bournemouth will win, but at the price of 1.65 is too low for this fixture. I would punt on a draw and maybe livebet on Tg over 0.5 or 1.5 towards the end of the game.

1x2 Draw (3)

Form:
Crystal Palace: WLDLLD
Everton: WLWDWL

H2H:

CP won 2 drew 3 and lost 1 in their last 6 encounters. Surprisingly, on CP’s ground, they have yet to win in their last 5 games against Everton. Drawing 3 and losing on 2 occasions.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

CP: 4/ 9

Everton: 12/ 4

Prediction:
Everton are currently in 7^th position, 7 points away from 6^th position Man Utd, and 4 points away from 8^th position WBA. Recent 4-0 victory against Man city would have been a morale booster. Everton scores an average of 1.3 goals in their away games.

CP are sitting in 17^th positiong just 1 point from the bottom, and has 1 of the highest goal count in the league. CP has the worst home record gaining just 7 points in 10 home games. They score an average of 1.3 goals and concede average of 1.5 goals per game.

Everton has been scoring in their past 5 games, and CP has conceded in every game aside from the 0-0 draw against Bolton in the FA cup. This game looks like Everton would almost certain score a goal in here. Taking Everton win at 2.15 seem like good value if everton can score a goal and keep it tight at the back.

Everton 1x2 

Form:
Stoke: WLWLLD
Man Utd: DWWWWW

H2H:

Stoke has won 2 drew 2 and lost 2 against Man Utd in the last 6 encounters. Man Utd has not won at Stoke ground for the last 3 games, losing twice and drawing once. The last time Man utd won at stoke was in 2013

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Stoke: 10/13

Man Utd: 12/ 3

Prediction:
Stoke are 9^th in the table with 27 points. They have a pretty even record, drawing with mid table teams, losing to top teams and winning bottom teams in their last 6 games. Stoke score and concede an average of 1.3 goals .

Man Utd are sitting at 6^th position and currently on a 12 game unbeaten streak. Man Utd average 1.5 away goals and concede an average of 1.1 goal.

Stoke has not won any of the top 6 teams this season so far and I expect it to continue. Man Utd has only failed to score on 4 occasions and has score 2 goals in their last 4 away games. There is no value in take Man Utd in the 1x2 and -1.5 seem highly unlikely as Man Utd are not known to thrash opponents. As long Stoke scores a goal, there is a high chance then game will go over 2.5.

Tg over 2.5

Form:
WBA: LLWWLL
Sunderland: LLDDLL

H2H:

there were 4 draws in the previous 6 encounters with both teams winning one each. Last 2 meetings ended 0-0 and 1-1. Sunderland has not won at WBA’s ground for the past 6 matches with WBA winning 5 and drawing 1.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

WBA: 6/ 11

Sunderland: 5/ 14

Prediction:
WBA are comfortable at 8^th position. Having only lost to the top 6 teams and picking up points against lower teams likes Hull, Swansea, Burnley and the likes. Their recent losses are against Man Utd, Arsenal and Chelsea, if we take the FA cup loss to Derby out of the equation. WBA scored and average of 1.9 goals per home game.

Sunderland are joint bottom with 15 points. They concede an average of 2 goals per game, scoring just 6.

Wba has done well when winning when they won Westham, Watford, Swansea and Hull by 2 goals, Burnley by 4 goals. They look like a team who would thrash if they could win. Sunderland has concede at least a goal in all their away games and conceded 14 in the last 5 games. So I expect them so concede. Seems like WBA will win this game, but I will be backing them to win by 2 goals or more at a nice odds of 2.70.

WBA -1.5

Form:
Man City: LWWLWW
Tottenham: WWWWW

H2H:

Each team won 3 times in the last 6 encounters with tottenham winning the last 3 meetings. However when Man city are at home, they only lost once and won 5.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Man City: 12/ 8

Tottenham: 18/ 3

Prediction:
Man City has been kind of slipping in their past few games after their fantastic start to the season. They lost to Chelsea, Leicester, Liverpool and recently 4-0 thrashing by Everton. Their home record is slightly better though, losing just once to Chelsea this season. They have at least scored 1 goal in each of their home games.

Tottenham are having the form of their lives now, winning 7 games in a row scoring 21 goals. Averaging 3 goals per game. However, only 2 of those are away games and they scored 4 goals in each of them against Southampton and Watford.

With Man city almost guarantee a goal at home, and with the recent goal scoring form of Tottenham, Tg over 2.5 would be a good bet.

Tg Over 2.5

Manchester Sunday

Form:
Everton : LWDWLW
Man City: WWLWWW

H2H:

Everton won 1, drew 3 and lost twice against Man city.

Most recent encounter was 1-1 draw at man city and 0-0 the next recent game.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Everton: 10/ 6

Man City: 14/ 3

Prediction:
Everton are sitting 7^th in the table, pretty respectable, and they do have a pretty decent record at home losing just 1 out of their last 10 home games. They are also very tight at the back conceding just 7 in 10 games. They do draw quite a bunch tho. Everton only didn’t managed to score at home twice this season, once in the league cup against norwich, and once against Liverpool. Other than that, they haven’t been scoring a bunch, usually clocking just 1 or 2 goals.

Man City are sitting 5^th in the table and Pep would not be please about that. They have pretty good away record, winning 7 out of their last 10, and scoring an average of 2.2 goals. Man city failed to find the net away 3 times this season against Barcelona, Man Utd and Liverpool on new year’s eve.

I expect Man City not able to drop any more points, especially in a crucial stage in this league campaign where the top teams are consistently winning. Going for a simple Man City win

Man City 1x2 

Form:
Man Utd : WWWWWW
Liverpool: LDDWWW

H2H:

Man Utd won 3 out of the last 6 games, drawing twice and liverpool winning once, noting that game liverpool won was in the Europa league.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Man Utd: 15/ 2

Liverpool: 8/ 4

Prediction:
Man Utd are in super hot form winning their last 9 games. However, the only strong opponent would be Tottenham, while the rest are all mid to bottom table teams. This game against Liverpool will prove their worth. Man Utd are sitting 6^th in the table desperately need more points to get into the top 4. They haven’t been scoring a bunch, but have the 3^rd best defense in the league conceding 19 in their 20 games. They are currently on a 11 unbeaten match run in the EPL.

Liverpool are sitting at 4^th in the table, just 5 points adrift of Chelsea at time of analysis(before Leicester v Chelsea). They have scored most goals in the Epl, scoring 48 in 20 games.

This looks like a game Man United are looking to win to close the gap at the top. And just basing on the form of the teams, Man Utd are looking good for a narrow win.

Man United 1x2

14 Jan - Premier League Analysis

Form:
Tottenham: WWWWWW
WBA: LWWLLW

H2H:
Surprisingly, the last 6 H2H, each team won a piece and 4 draws. Last 3 games turned out 1-1.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Tottenham: 17/ 3

WBA: 9/ 8

Prediction:
With the current run of form and recent 2-0 win over Chelsea, Tottenham are definitely looking good for a win here. They have also yet to lose a home game. Averaging 2.1 goals/ home game and conceding 0.5 goals.

WBA are not doing so bad siting at 8^th in the table. They trouble scoring away, with just 9 goals in 10 games.

Tottenham win odds 1.20 is not worth taking and H-H at 1.65 is not either. Tottenham should score at least 2 goals in this game. Either Spurs or WBA just sneak in 1 more goal and Tg over 2.5 will look like a decent punt for a small bet

Tg over 2.5 (small bet, wait jalan for better odds)

Form:
Watford: WLLDLL
Middlesbrough: WDLLWL

H2H:
Watford won 4 out of the last 6 meetings against Boro, and drew 2.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Watford: 4/ 10

Boro: 7/ 6

Prediction:
Watford has a pretty weak attacking force with a weak defence. On their home, they managed to score 15 goals and concede 17 in the last 10 games.

Boro is the draw specialist with 7 draws in 20 games. Despite having a decent squad, they are having difficulty finding the net, only managing 17 goals in the last 20 league games

Both teams clocked a win last week during the Fa cup against weaker opponents, and are looking to build on their momentum. However, this game looks like it will even things out, with both struggling to find the finishing touch. Sgpools is offering TG 1.5 for this game over at 1.48, under at 2.35. A draw looks a decent bet in the game even the odds is on the low side at 2.90

Draw 1x2( small bet 1-3 )

Form:
West Ham: LLLWWW
CP: DLLDLL

H2H:
WestHam won’3 out of the last 6 draw once, with CP prevailing twice.

On a side note, there is a red card in each of their last 4 encounter.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Westham: 6/ 9

CP: 3/ 7

Prediction:
West ham’s condition actually looks overhyped by the media. They lost their last 3 games, 1-0 to leicester, 0-2 away to Man Utd, before the 0-5 drubbing by Man City. Just when they thought they found their form after 3 consecutive wins against burnley, hull and swansea. They look like a team who loses consistently to the top teams and gaining points against mid-table to bottom teams.

Crystal Palace are currently in dire straits. They started the season decently and have been on a slump ever since. Their last away win was way back in September 2016, with a 2-3 win against Sunderland.

With the huge hype on Payet wanting to leave West Ham. This game could be unpredictable. Taking Westham level would be good bet, but it is too unpredictable. No bet
No bet

Form:
Sunderland: DDLLWL
Stoke: LWLLDD

H2H:
Each team won 2 a piece and drew 2 games. On sunderland’s ground, Sunderland has won last 4 out of 6. winning the last 2 by 2 goals margin.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Sunderland: 5/10

Stoke: 7/ 12

Prediction:
Sunderland are now currently struggling at the bottom 3 and they hope to get a win to get them out from there. They have the 2^nd worst scoring record with 19 goals in 20 games, 3^rd worst defense conceding 37. They lose half of their games at home, winning 3 and drawing 2.

Last 3 stoke game were against Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea making them concede 11 goals. They will look to get something out from this match against Sunderland, especially their next fixture is against Manchester United.

Taking Stoke on the Win+ draw looks like a decent bet

Stoke Win/Draw (Medium 5 )

Form:
Swansea: LWLLLL
Arsenal: WDWWLL

H2H:

Surprisingly, Swasean won 3 out of the last 6 encounters against Arsenal, drawing once. Games have been producing at least 3 goals majority of the times these 2 teams meet

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Swansea: 4/ 16

Arsenal: 10/ 8

Prediction:
Swasea looks like one of the team to be relegated this season. Enough said.

Arsenal on the other hand, won half of their away games is something to take note of. However they managed to score average 2.3 goals and concede 1.2 goals in their away games.

Expect goals in this game. With the odds at 1.50, it is better to wait for better odds during live bet. Another option could be bet on the over 1.5 win full in the second half, as Giroud has been scoring some late goals recently.

TG Over 2.5 (7-10 wait for better odds)

Form:
Burnley: DLWWLL
Southampton: WDLLLW

H2H:

Burnley won 1 and drew 1 out of the last 6. With Southampton winning by 2 goals, 3-1, 2-0 in their last 2 encounters. However, Burnley has not lost to Southampton in their last 3 encounter on their home. Winning twice and drawing once.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Burnley: 7/ 6

Southampton: 8/ 12

Prediction:
Burnley has been getting decent results recently. They are surprisingly 5^th best when at home. They won 7 out of their 11 home games drawing 1 and losing 3. Of course on the other hand, they only managed 1 point in al of their 9 away games.

Southampton is running through a bad patch in the premier league and the 1-0 victory over liverpool came as a slight surprise to many punters. Their captain Fonte has submitted a transfer request showed no effect on the team against Liverpool. Southampton only managed to score 9 goals in their last 10 away games and 3 of them came in a recent game against Bournemouth.

Looking at Burnley strong form at home, and Southampton poor recent result and poor away goal scoring record. A simple Burnely win looks on the card.

Burnley 1x2 (medium 5) 

Form:
Hull: LWLDLL
Bournemouth: LDWLLW

H2H:

Hull won the last 3 games with 1 draw and 1 loss. Hull won the last 2 games against bournemouth at home, though in their last encounter Bournemouth came out winners 6-1..

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Hull: 5/ 10

Bournemouth: 8/ 12

Prediction:
Hull are currently at the bottom of the table and ilooks like relegation is on the card for them. They only won 3 games so far and 2 of them came at home. At home, they score an average of 1.1 goals and concede an avg of 2 goals.

Bournemouth at sitting comfortably at 9^th in the table. Looking at their away form, they only managed 2 wins and 2 draws losing 6. They score an average of 1 goal and concede 1.9 for their away games.

Hull city looks like a defeated team and bournemouth is very inconsistent. This could be a chance for Hull for get a point or 3 in this encounter.

Hull win/draw (medium 5-7)

Form:
Leicester: WDWLDL
Chelsea: WLWWWW

H2H:

Leicester won only once and draw once in their encounter which was the season they won the title. Chelsea won the other 4. their next win against chelsea goes back to 2001

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):

Leicester: 5/ 6

Chelsea: 13/ 5

Prediction:
Leicester can’t seems to emulate their form last season. And going back to where they belong. In the 15^th position. They won only 5 games thus far and all occur on their home ground. This shows that the fans have a factor in helping them. They conceded an average of 1 goal at home. And scored and average of 1.6 goals.

Chelsea are potentially the new champions sitting on top of the table with second place Liverpool 5 points behind. They have the second best defense conceding just 15 in 20 games. Despite scoring 42 goals in 20 games so far, only 14 of them came on an away game. They have been scrapping out 1-0 and 2-0 on their away games.

Leicester would look to keep things tight at the back and looking to counter. And Chelsea are looking to extend their lead at the top despite losing 2-0 to Spurs in their last game. This looks like an under game for me. With the last minute news of Conte dropping Diego Costa due to an disagreement. Under is looking better

Tg Under 2.5(small bet 1-3)