Thursday, 2 February 2017

[A-League] Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC

Form:
Brisbane Roar: WWLLLD
Sydney Fc: WWDWWW

H2H:
On Brisbane’s ground, Sydney only managed to won once and draw 2, with Brisbane winning 3.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Brisbane Roar: 8/ 10
Sydney Fc: 13/ 3

Prediction:
Brisbane are 3rd winning their last 2 games, and losing their 3 prior to that.
Sydney are still unbeaten and a good defensive record to match.

The only reason Sydney are offered such a good odds is because of Brisbane home record against them. However, the value is still on Sydney.


Sydney FC 1x2

Friday, 27 January 2017

[A-League] Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City

Form:
Newcastle Jets: LDWLDW
Melbourne City: WLWDDL

H2H:
Jets won 2 out of the last 6 H2H with MC winning 4. All previous encounter has more than 2.5 goals.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Newcastle Jets: 11/ 13
MC: 10/ 10

Prediction:
Jets are 8th in the table, with an average of 4 goals in their last 6 games. They have won 2 draw 4 and lose 2 in their home games. Drawing the last 2 games

MC are 3rd with a slim chance of gaining 2nd position. Winning this game will put them 3 points behind 2nd position MC hasn’t been performing on the road, winning only twice on the road and have not won in 5.

With both teams scoring and conceding many goals in recent times and market at over 2.5 easy pick on the over @ 1.50. small bet on TG 5,6,7


TG Over 2.5

Thursday, 26 January 2017

[A-League] Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC

Form:
Melbourne Victory: LLWWWW
Sydney FC: WDWWWW

H2H:
MV won 3 of the last 6 H2H, however the most recent one was won by Sydney. Sydney have never won on MV ground for the last 6 games losing 3 times and drawing 3 times.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
MV: 14/ 10
Sydney: 15/ 3

Prediction:
Sydney has done done well in their game to MV’s ground. This is the only reason this game is level ball. Sydney has not lost a single game this season and MV are on a 2 game losing streak. Most people think that is Sydney wins this game the title race is as good as over. And I believe that Sydney will win this game and show their prowess defensively and offensively.

Sydney 1x2 

Sunday, 22 January 2017

22/1/17 EPL Matches

Form:
Southampton: WLWDLL
Leicester: LWDWLD

H2H:
Southampton won only 1 and drew 1 out of the last 6 meetings. However on home soil, they managed to win 4, draw 1 and lose 1. Southampton have not won Leicester in their last 4 encounters.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Southampton: 5/ 8
Leicester: 5/ 8

Prediction:
Southampton are currently on a 4 game losing streak in the premier league. They have scored and concede and average of 1 goal / home game. Southampton have scored 1 goal in their last 7 home games.

Leicester, current Epl champions are sitting at 15th in the table. They have yet to win an away game in 10 games, conceding an average of 2.1 goals/away game. Leicester had been horrible away this season winning only twice on the road.

I see some value in backing the current champions. Leicester not to lose on this one.



Leicester Win/Draw

Form:
Arsenal: WWDWWL
Burnley: WWDLWW

H2H:
Arsenal won the last 5 meetings drawing once. Back at home, Arsenal has won all games against Burnley scoring at least 2 goals in each game

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Arsenal: 13/ 6
Burnley: 9/ 3

Prediction:
Arsenal are sitting 4th in the table and dropping points against Burnley will be disastrous. They have the 2nd best offense in the league scoring 48 goals in 21 games conceding 22. They have won their last 4 home games and scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding 1/home game.

Burnley are the worst travellers in the league managing only 1 point in 9 awayt games. Scoring just 3 and conceding 20. However, they seemed to be running good recently, clocking in 4 wins,1 draw in their last 6 games, losing 2-1 to man city. They also managed 3 clean sheets in their last 3 games.

Arsenal are solid at home and Burnley are lousy travellers. This look like a straightforward Arsenal win here.
Arsenal -1.5 at Sgpools gives no value at all, and it is risky taking Burnley +1.5. With 3 clean sheets in their last 3 games, I’m banking on Burnley to keep it tight at the back and attacking on the break, keeping the game low scoring.

Tg Under 3.5 

Form:
Chelsea: WWLWWW
Hull: WLWLDL

H2H:
Chelsea won 5/6 games against Hull. Scoring at least 2 goals in the last 5 games.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Chelsea: 15/ 5
Hull: 8/ 11

Prediction:
Current league leaders, Chelsea, are 7 points away from 2nd place tottenham. Chelsea have the best attack at home, averaging 2.8 goals/ home game and conceding just 6.

Hull are sitting at 18th position, 1 point from bottom. They concede an average of 2.4 goals/ away game, scoring just 6.in 10 games. Hull scored only 1 goal in their last 7 league games.

Chelsea had a 10 game winning streak before being beaten by Tottenham 2-0. and are back to their winning ways, winning 2 on the trot. They also have scored in every home game this season, scoring 1 goal twice, while banging in the goals in others, frequently 3 to 4 goals. Having mentioned the stats, it is likely that Chelsea will thrash Hull in this game. Not a fan of giving -2.5 balls, but at the odds of 2.30 and over 3.5 at odds 2.25. I would not count on Hull city to score, so Chelsea -2.5 is the better choice

Chelsea -2.5

[A-League] Western Sydney vs Newcastle Jets

Form:
WSW: DLDDDL
Newcastle Jets: DWLDWW

H2H:
WSW won 3 out of the last 6 meetings drawing 2 times and Newcastle Jets winning once. Last game was a 2-2 draw.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
WSW: 4/ 8
Newcaslte Jets: 13/ 12

Prediction:
WSW are 8th in the table, 5 points above the bottom. They won only 2 games drawing 9. Draw specialist?. They have yet to win at home and drew 5 games at home. They only managed to score 6 and conceded 13 in 7 of their home games.

Jets are 7th in the table 2 points above WSW. They have won 2, drew once and lost 4 times in 7 of their away games, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Their 2 wins can recently in their last 3 games.

WSW has last 4 games have been under 2.5 goals all against decent opponents. Jets on the other hand has over 2.5 goals in their last 6 matches. Jets has conceded at least a goal in their last 13 games and failing to score only twice. I am expecting goals from Jets and them conceding as well.


TG Over 2.5

Saturday, 21 January 2017

22/1/17 EPL Matches

Form:
Liverpool: WDLDDW
Swansea: LLWLLL

H2H:
Liverpool won 5 out of last 6 games

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Liverpool: 5/ 4
Swansea: 3/ 17


Prediction:
The media has made it seemed like Liverpool is in a mini crisis after failing to win Plymouth in the FA cup and losing to Southampton in the League cup. Having said that, Liverpool currently has the best attack in EPL scoring 49 goals in 21 games. One thing to note is that their top scorer Sadio Mane is currently at the African Nations cup and unavailable for the game.

Swansea should be more well rested than Liverpool as they do not have a mid-week game. They concede an average of 2.2 goals per away game, scoring 0.9.

Despite losing Mane, Liverpool have multiple goal scorers in their team and are looking to gain 3 easy points against Swansea.

Liverpool – 1.5

Form:
Middlesbrough: DWDLLW
West Ham: WLLLWW

H2H:
Boro won 1 draw 3 and lost 2 against Westham. Last 2 encounter was 1-1 draw.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Boro: 7/ 3
West Ham: 8/ 9

Prediction:
Draw specialist this season Boro are looking to avoid relegation this season currently with 20pts. They are keeping it tight on both ends, scoring just 17 and conceding 22 goals. That is joint 4th best defense in the league.
Westham are sitting in 12th position seemingly safe from relegation, they have been winning weaker teams and losing to top teams.

With Boro continue to keep things tight, Tg under 2.5 seem like a good bet covering the potential 0-0 and 1-1 most likely result
Tg Under 2.5

Form:
Bournemouth: LLDWLL
Watford: DWLLDL

H2H:
5 out of the last 6 games ended in draw with Bournemouth taking 1 victory. Last 3 games ended in draw 2-2,0-0 and 1-1.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Bournemouth: 8/ 15
Watford: 4/ 8

Prediction:
Bournemouth are sitting at 11th position with 25 points, while Watford at 14th position with 23points. A win by Watford would rise them above bournemouth. Bournemouth have been pretty decent at home, remember the 4-3 victory against liverpool and 3-3 draw against Arsenal?
Watford are also terrible on the road losing their last 5 games. And conceding an average of 1.9 goals per away game.
Based on the statistics, it is likely that Bournemouth will win, but at the price of 1.65 is too low for this fixture. I would punt on a draw and maybe livebet on Tg over 0.5 or 1.5 towards the end of the game.

1x2 Draw (3)

Form:
Crystal Palace: WLDLLD
Everton: WLWDWL

H2H:
CP won 2 drew 3 and lost 1 in their last 6 encounters. Surprisingly, on CP’s ground, they have yet to win in their last 5 games against Everton. Drawing 3 and losing on 2 occasions.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
CP: 4/ 9
Everton: 12/ 4

Prediction:
Everton are currently in 7th position, 7 points away from 6th position Man Utd, and 4 points away from 8th position WBA. Recent 4-0 victory against Man city would have been a morale booster. Everton scores an average of 1.3 goals in their away games.

CP are sitting in 17th positiong just 1 point from the bottom, and has 1 of the highest goal count in the league. CP has the worst home record gaining just 7 points in 10 home games. They score an average of 1.3 goals and concede average of 1.5 goals per game.

Everton has been scoring in their past 5 games, and CP has conceded in every game aside from the 0-0 draw against Bolton in the FA cup. This game looks like Everton would almost certain score a goal in here. Taking Everton win at 2.15 seem like good value if everton can score a goal and keep it tight at the back.

Everton 1x2 

Form:
Stoke: WLWLLD
Man Utd: DWWWWW

H2H:
Stoke has won 2 drew 2 and lost 2 against Man Utd in the last 6 encounters. Man Utd has not won at Stoke ground for the last 3 games, losing twice and drawing once. The last time Man utd won at stoke was in 2013

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Stoke: 10/13
Man Utd: 12/ 3

Prediction:
Stoke are 9th in the table with 27 points. They have a pretty even record, drawing with mid table teams, losing to top teams and winning bottom teams in their last 6 games. Stoke score and concede an average of 1.3 goals .

Man Utd are sitting at 6th position and currently on a 12 game unbeaten streak. Man Utd average 1.5 away goals and concede an average of 1.1 goal.

Stoke has not won any of the top 6 teams this season so far and I expect it to continue. Man Utd has only failed to score on 4 occasions and has score 2 goals in their last 4 away games. There is no value in take Man Utd in the 1x2 and -1.5 seem highly unlikely as Man Utd are not known to thrash opponents. As long Stoke scores a goal, there is a high chance then game will go over 2.5.

Tg over 2.5

Form:
WBA: LLWWLL
Sunderland: LLDDLL

H2H:
there were 4 draws in the previous 6 encounters with both teams winning one each. Last 2 meetings ended 0-0 and 1-1. Sunderland has not won at WBA’s ground for the past 6 matches with WBA winning 5 and drawing 1.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
WBA: 6/ 11
Sunderland: 5/ 14

Prediction:
WBA are comfortable at 8th position. Having only lost to the top 6 teams and picking up points against lower teams likes Hull, Swansea, Burnley and the likes. Their recent losses are against Man Utd, Arsenal and Chelsea, if we take the FA cup loss to Derby out of the equation. WBA scored and average of 1.9 goals per home game.

Sunderland are joint bottom with 15 points. They concede an average of 2 goals per game, scoring just 6.

Wba has done well when winning when they won Westham, Watford, Swansea and Hull by 2 goals, Burnley by 4 goals. They look like a team who would thrash if they could win. Sunderland has concede at least a goal in all their away games and conceded 14 in the last 5 games. So I expect them so concede. Seems like WBA will win this game, but I will be backing them to win by 2 goals or more at a nice odds of 2.70.


WBA -1.5

Form:
Man City: LWWLWW
Tottenham: WWWWW

H2H:
Each team won 3 times in the last 6 encounters with tottenham winning the last 3 meetings. However when Man city are at home, they only lost once and won 5.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Man City: 12/ 8
Tottenham: 18/ 3

Prediction:
Man City has been kind of slipping in their past few games after their fantastic start to the season. They lost to Chelsea, Leicester, Liverpool and recently 4-0 thrashing by Everton. Their home record is slightly better though, losing just once to Chelsea this season. They have at least scored 1 goal in each of their home games.

Tottenham are having the form of their lives now, winning 7 games in a row scoring 21 goals. Averaging 3 goals per game. However, only 2 of those are away games and they scored 4 goals in each of them against Southampton and Watford.

With Man city almost guarantee a goal at home, and with the recent goal scoring form of Tottenham, Tg over 2.5 would be a good bet.

Tg Over 2.5

Thursday, 19 January 2017

[A-League] Perth Glory vs Melboune Victory

Form:
Perth Glory: DWDDLL
Melbourne Victory: LWWWWW

H2H:
Perth glory won 2 our of the last 6 games while MV won once. They drew 3 games. MV only won once in the last 6 at Perth glory’s ground.

Goals Scored/Conceded(last 6 games):
Perth Glory: 10/ 13
Melbourne Victory: 15/ 9


Prediction:
Pg are sitting in mid table and there were 27 goals scored and conceded by them in their last 7 home games, They also concede an average of 2 goals per game. Perth Glory poor woes of conceding goals should continue

MV received a shock defeat at wellington 4 days ago and looking to gain ground on leaders Sydney Fc. They havent been scoring a whole lot on their away games, scoring 11 in last 7 away games. MV are looking to bounce back from their defeat and gain some momentum before the top of the table clash against Sydney in their following game. This game looks like a goal fest potentially both sides scoring at least 2 each. However, I am rooting on MV to bounce back from their defeat with a decent odds.


Melbourne Victory 1x2